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In computer news this week 03/04/2009

 

The economy’s  crashing, and the pc industry looks like it’s taking an even bigger dive...

 

Gartner, Inc. is the world’s leading information technology research and advisory company. On Monday the company forecasted worldwide PC sales will fall almost 12% this year, as the industry goes through "unprecedented market slowdowns" that are hampering sales in both mature and emerging markets. Gartner said the previous worst decline in PC shipments came in 2001, when unit shipments fell 3.2%.

 

"The PC industry is facing extraordinary conditions as the global economy continues to weaken, users stretch PC lifetimes and PC buyers grow increasingly cautious," said Gartner research director George Shiffler.

 

The shift in PCs from desktop units toward notebook devices highlights the overall expected decline in PC sales this year. Gartner said that desktop PC sales will drop almost 32% this year, while mobile PCs will rise 9%.

 

However, Gartner said that mobile PC sales will be "substantially boosted" by growth in mini-notebooks, also called netbooks. Gartner is forecasting netbooks to reach 21 million units, up from 11.7 million last year.

 

So what’s going on in our pc marketplace ? 

 

Businesses are trying to stretch the life of traditional desktop computers they already own.  With a desktop its possible to upgrade its hardware and its operating system and keep on getting productivity out of it.

 

There’s a hesitancy to invest in new desktops until the future of personal computing becomes a little clearer.

 

One issue is how much lower will the price of a desktop computer go? 

 

Today Dell computers is selling a complete desktop with Vista, powerful hardware, and a 22 inch monitor for around $ 600. That’s probably a lot less that you paid for your last desktop, but you know that you can probably squeeze a few more years out of what you’ve got right now, and even upgrade the hard disk or ram for less that $ 600.

 

What’s really interesting is the prediction for big increases in sales of notebooks and netbooks computers, both of which are targeted at the internet, and perhaps- the new concept of cloud computing, where the computer you have doesn’t need to be a traditional powerful desktop.

 

In this new scenario your application programs and data are stored on client servers somewhere, or up in the clouds as they say, and you just need to be able to access them through the internet using a lightweight portable device.

 

And you’re probably carrying around a lightweight portable device – a cell phone - already, so you can talk from anywhere, check email, and do limited web surfing.

 

So rather than having to pack 2 separate lightweight portable devices to talk and compute from anywhere, I see the merging of netbooks and cell phones into new intelligent devices which might have as big an impact on the world as did the original pc.

 

 

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This is Frank Delaney

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