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In computer news this week 01/21/2009

 

The future of personal computing - What can you do on a cell phone better – easier – and cheaper – than you can on a personal computer ?

 

Recently Microsoft’s Steve Ballmer stated that it's taken around 30 years for one billion PCs to be sold worldwide, but considerably less time for the cell phone market to hit up to 7  billion units.

 

With the market for computing, web surfing, and entertainment going beyond Microsoft's core market of the PC - Ballmer's keynote speech was notable for saying Microsoft had to go beyond "just" the PC. But he didn’t address how Microsoft  will do that.

 

With 7 times more cell phones in the world than personal computers, cell phones are beginning to take over tasks previously done only by pc’s.  Cell phones started out as straight phone devices; the first cell phone text message was sent in the early 1990’s, but texting really didn’t take off until the late 90’s, and by the year 2000 it was extremely popular.

 

People discovered that a text message on a cell phone was like email on a pc – you could contact someone – state exactly what you wanted to say – but not actually have to talk to them.  Today texting might be the main things done on cell phones, as I recently saw a CNN story on a teenage who sent over 14000 text messages in one month. Fortunately she was on an unlimited texting plan.

 

But texting has a very dangerous side. People talking on cell phones are somewhat distracted from whatever they’re doing by talking to someone and having a conversation, but with texting, they’re looking at the keyboard  to form their words, and are even more distracted. The recent case of the train engineer who crashed his train while texting is the modern day equivalent of the Casey Jones train wreck a century ago.

 

Cell phones today are very inexpensive, from the simple start-up pay-as-you-go under $ 10 ones you can buy at drugstores, like the Trac phones where you buy a card of usage, even up to the current top of the line Blackberry Storm from Verizon, a features rich cell phone, priced at under $ 200, with monthly plans running under $ 100.

 

Most cell phone allow texting, and most have a built in camera for taking and sending picture messages too.  So the ability to own a cell phone and be able to talk to your friends- and text and picture message is affordable to most people.

 

In looking at the Dell computer site specials today, a low end system will cost you at least $ 400, and to send emails you need to pay at least $ 20 a month for some ISP service.

 

So one of the reasons there’s 7 times more cell phones in the world than personal computers is that cell phones are much cheaper – under $40 COMPARED TO $ 400+, and also much simpler to learn and operate.

 

Next week part 3 of our series on the future of computing

 

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This is Frank Delaney

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